The 11.5% Signal: How Polymarket Predicted Geopolitical Risk Before the Headlines
Hook A single data point: 11.5%. That is the probability assigned by...
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Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Block reward halving event
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Team and early investor shares released
92 million ARB released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Bitcoin Season
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